The Progress of Progress

Don't worry, they say. The chances of getting hit are smaller than those of being hit by lightning, they say. Only 20 to 40 percent of the unmanned stricken Russian spaceship Progress will survive re-entry, they say. Of course, 40 percent is about 1.5 tons and no one can say for sure exactly where it'll land. What they do say, in addition to the above, is that re-entry will be sometime between the evening of May 7 and the early morning of May 8 (London time, and they're about 8 hours ahead of us, give or take, depending on where in the States you are) (story, video): http://www.theguardian.com/science/2015/may/07/russias-progress-spacecraft-set-to-crash-to-earth-within-24-hours?CMP=ema_565